Market Watch Brief · CD-CBAM-IN-EU
CBAM · India-EU FTA To Council for signature Brief · September 2026

The India-EU CBAM Annexure: What It Actually Binds

Future flexibilities extended to India, SME compliance relief and verifier recognition. No exemption, and a carbon-price deduction that still depends on a CCTS price nobody can quote.

By Vaibhav Jain · Climate Decode · · 7 min read

WHAT THE ANNEXURE SECURES4provisions, none an exemptionFuture flexibility, SME burden, verifier recognition, carbon-price dialoguePROCESS CARBON-PRICE DEDUCTION · UNRESOLVED?which CCTS price the EU recognisesAn intensity-based scheme with no observable trading price to deduct CLIMATE DECODE · INDIA-EU CBAM ANNEXURE

At a glance

Exemption

NOT GRANTED

The Commission's stated position is that India receives no more favourable CBAM treatment and the EU's obligations are unchanged.

Future flexibility

EXTENDED TO INDIA

The annexure's first pillar obliges the EU to extend to India any future flexibility it introduces in CBAM.

Carbon-price offset

A CONVERSATION

A mechanism to engage EU authorities on recognising the Indian carbon price. It does not fix a number or a date.

Our view

The annexure has been read in India as relief and in Brussels as nothing much. Both readings are defensible, which is usually a sign that a text was drafted to be read twice. What it plainly is not is a carve-out: the CBAM charge on Indian steel, aluminium and cement is unchanged by it.

The provision worth tracking is the carbon-price one, and it is worth tracking because it is unresolved rather than because it is generous. The size of any deduction depends on a Carbon Credit Trading Scheme price that does not yet exist in an observable form. Until India has a trading price the EU is prepared to recognise, the annexure is a promise to talk about a number nobody can currently quote.

The four provisions

What the annexure contains

Additional Secretary in India's Commerce Ministry Darpan Jain said on 30 July 2026 that the India-European Union Free Trade Agreement contains a dedicated annexure on the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism. On his account it does four things.

1

Future flexibility flows through

The EU is obliged to extend to India any future flexibility it introduces in CBAM. This is the most substantive commitment in the annexure: it converts future EU concessions, whoever they were designed for, into an entitlement for Indian exporters.

2

SME compliance burden

Provisions addressing the verification burden on small and medium-sized enterprises, and the practical difficulty of determining the value of embedded carbon in a consignment.

3

Verifier recognition

Provisions aimed at ensuring that verifiers used by Indian exporters are recognised by EU authorities — a procedural bottleneck that has generated real cost during the transitional phase.

4

Carbon-price engagement

A mechanism to engage EU authorities on taking account of the carbon price paid in India, as India builds out its own carbon pricing framework under the Carbon Credit Trading Scheme.

Negotiations on the wider agreement concluded on 27 January 2026. As of September 2026 the Commission has put forward its proposals to the Council for signature of the trade agreement; Council approval is required before the European Parliament gives consent, while India runs its own ratification through the Union Cabinet and the President. Entry into force is expected from 2027, subject to both sides completing those steps.

The other reading

How Brussels describes the same text

The Commission's framing is considerably narrower. Chief spokesperson Paula Pinho said on 27 January 2026 that the EU had made “no commitment” to change its CBAM obligations or to grant India “more favourable treatment”. On the Commission's account, the agreement opens the possibility of technical dialogue on CBAM, alongside a climate action platform and around EUR 500 million of envisaged EU support over two years.

The two descriptions are not contradictory. An obligation to extend future flexibilities is not a change to present obligations, and a mechanism to engage on carbon-price recognition is a dialogue rather than a deduction. The annexure secures process and forward optionality. It does not secure a lower bill in 2027.

Verification note

The annexure's contents as set out above are as described publicly by India's Commerce Ministry, and the Commission's position is as reported in trade press. Climate Decode has not read the FTA legal text itself, which was not public at the time of writing. Exporters should not plan against the specific characterisations here without sight of the operative text once the agreement is signed and published.

The operative question

What it means for Indian exporters

For steel, aluminium and cement exporters the question the annexure does not answer is the one that determines the cost: which Indian carbon price the EU will deduct from the CBAM charge, and from when. CBAM allows the charge to be reduced by a carbon price already paid in the country of production. That deduction is only as large as the price the EU accepts as genuinely paid and verifiable.

India's Carbon Credit Trading Scheme is the instrument that would generate such a price. Compliance obligations are in force for roughly 490 entities across seven notified sectors, targets are set as greenhouse-gas emission intensity rather than absolute caps, and the first compliance year has closed. What has not settled is an observable, liquid trading price for Carbon Credit Certificates on the power exchanges — and an intensity-based scheme produces a price signal that is structurally harder to map onto CBAM's embedded-emissions arithmetic than an absolute-cap allowance price.

The practical planning position for an exporter is therefore unchanged by the annexure: model the CBAM charge on the assumption of no Indian carbon-price deduction, treat any deduction as upside, and put the verification and embedded-carbon-data work on the critical path now. The SME and verifier-recognition provisions reduce friction in exactly that work, which is where the annexure delivers its most immediate value.

Climate Decode's view is that the first pillar is the sleeper. CBAM is going to be amended — the simplification package, the treatment of indirect emissions, and the interaction with EU ETS free allocation are all live. Every flexibility the EU grants to anyone from here is, by the annexure's terms, extended to India. That is a durable entitlement, and it is worth more over a decade than any single exemption would have been.

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About the Author

Vaibhav Jain — Managing Director, Climate Decode

Vaibhav Jain

Managing Director, Climate Decode

12+ years in carbon markets and climate finance across four continents. Leads the Canopy product and aligned advisory services in corporate sustainability. 79+ projects delivered across 25 countries. Formerly South Pole · Yes Bank · PwC.

Speak to Vaibhav → Meet the team →

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